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Talks of global supply chain shortages have been a near constant this holiday season, with many experts urging consumers to plan ahead and place their orders early.
Amazon may be one of the few retailers who ends up being insulated from supply chain shocks.
The company has a major advantage. It operates a mammoth network of its own planes, trucks, ships and last-mile delivery vans. It's also bringing on 150,000 seasonal workers to help handle packages during the holiday rush.
Amazon last month said it had strengthened its tools to better predict what goods people want and where they need to go, while shipping goods into different ports to avoid blockages.
Amazon is spending big to make sure shoppers have a happy holiday. In its latest earnings report, Amazon said it would take on $4 billion in costs in the current quarter, which threatens to wipe out all of its fourth-quarter profits.
— Annie Palmer
More shoppers, fewer markdowns at Roosevelt Field
The number of shoppers turning out at Simon Property Group's Roosevelt Field shopping mall in Garden City, New York, are topping last year's levels, said Dana Telsey, chief research officer and CEO at Telsey Advisory Group. However, the turnout isn't as strong as it was in 2019, she said.
Telsey said the number of shoppers has been strong throughout the month of November, even as discounts remain at 50% or below.
"I think the discount rate is less than it had been in the past," she said. "I think that they're taking it on goods where they know they'll make it up in other areas on full-price sales. I think the margins going into this have been solid."
Telsey said she expects this trend to continue in the months ahead as the supply chain issues won't be resolved until the second half of next year. Other analysts have said it could take even longer.
—Christina Cheddar Berk
Macy's CEO Jeff Gennette said coping with new Covid variant is 'all too familiar'
Retail was supposed to be in the spotlight this Black Friday, as bigger crowds of shoppers are expected to return to stores. Instead, the stock market is dropping on fears of a new variant of Covid-19 discovered in South Africa.
On CNBC's "Squawk Box," Macy's CEO Jeff Gennette said it brings back memories of what the department store has dealt with throughout the global health crisis. He said the company will closely monitor the development.
"We went through alpha. We went through delta," he said. "We've now got new variants. ... We've been playing with this for the past almost 20 months, and so we're well-practiced for this."
He said the retailer has tools it can use to adapt, from shipping online orders to customers' doors to contactless curbside pickup.
But, he added, "it's all too familiar for us, what we're going through right now. And we're going to be ready for the next wave, whatever that is."
Peloton goes on sale this Black Friday
: Bmo capital markets locations
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Black Friday Discounts Fade as Demand and Inflation Power Ahead
Black Friday deals ranked among the least generous in years as more U.S. consumers headed back to stores on one of the busiest shopping days of the year.Retailers appear to have the “lowest level of clearance goods in five years or more,” Oliver Chen, an analyst at Cowen & Co., said in a report Friday. According to Salesforce.com Inc., the average discount on products purchased during the past couple of days globally was 24%, down about 2 to 4 percentage points from the average in recent years.“If consumers see 25% off, they should feel really good about that,” Rob Garf, Salesforce.com’s vice president of retail, said in an interview. The start of this year’s holiday season has “some of the lowest average discount rates that we’ve seen in recent history.”Chalk it up to a mix of strong demand, rising inflation and diminished product availability because of the global supply-chain crunch. While retailers are dangling deep price cuts on some products, the overall level of markdowns is apt to enable retailers such as Macy’s Inc., American Eagle Outfitters Inc. and Kohl’s Corp. to shore up their merchandise margins, Chen said. And while bargain hunters may be frustrated, shoppers are still spending freely.
“We’re likely to see very much more full-price selling,” Ken Perkins, founder of Retail Metrics, a researcher, said in an interview with Bloomberg TV. “Consumers have been surprisingly willing to accept price increases.”
Indeed, Mastercard SpendingPulse estimated that Black Friday revenue, in stores and online, rose nearly 30% through 3 p.m. New York time compared with 2020. Retailers’ shares held up reasonably well amid a broad market selloff Friday, with the S&P Retail Select index down 1.4% while the S&P 500 lost 2.3%.
Tia Smith, a 22-year-old sales assistant at a Macy’s in Brooklyn, said some shoppers inquired about the discounts they were accustomed to before the pandemic.
“They ask me, ‘Isn’t this supposed to be 50% off?’” she said.
Given a scarcity of irresistible bargains, traffic was light at some locations. A Target store in the New York suburbs had less than half as many people compared with Black Fridays before the coronavirus pandemic, said Meliesha Francis, 37. She came for staples such as Huggies diapers, which weren’t discounted. A trip to the Bed Bath & Beyond in the same shopping complex earlier that morning had proved equally fruitless.
“There was only one set of curtains on sale,” Francis said.
Part of that is by design. Target Corp. and Walmart Inc. began offering Black Friday deals weeks ago, spreading out demand over a longer period. Both companies reported strong sales growth when they reported earnings last week and issued upbeat outlooks for holiday spending.
“While historically we thought of Thanksgiving weekend and Black Friday as the kickoff to holiday season, in many ways it’s now halftime,” said Matt Shay, chief executive officer of the National Retail Federation.
Online spending on Thursday — Thanksgiving Day in the U.S. — came in at the low end of expectations with $5.1 billion, according to the Adobe Digital Economy Index. Adobe had predicted a range of $5.1 billion to $5.9 billion earlier this week. But the company reiterated its prediction that online spending from Nov. 1 through Dec. 31 will rise 10% to $207 billion, a record.
At physical stores, comprehensive foot-traffic data aren’t yet available for Friday, and overall sales bmo capital markets locations still be elevated thanks to online orders a librarys online catalog is a computerized index of shopping into the evening. After all, a lack of doorbusters means shoppers don’t really need to get there early.
“The chaos of past Black Fridays would actually be problematic given the inventory scarcity,” said Simeon Siegel, a retail analyst at BMO Capital Markets. “The reality is companies don’t have the units to see 2019 traffic.”
Black Friday Update: Follow all the retail action into the weekend
Whatever the final sales tally, plenty of customers came out to shop. By midday at a Tanger Factory Outlet in Fort Washington, Maryland, police began limiting the number of cars in the lot. Around the same time, a crowded Best Buy Co. store in Irving, Texas, had long lines at the cash register and a steady stream of customers exiting with their purchases.
“It’s better to actually see what you’re getting,” said Jorge Arriaga, 42, a supervisor at a concrete recycler who bought a 55-inch TV for about $400. “Sometimes when you order online, you open the package and it’s not quite what you were expecting.”
Craig Johnson, president of Customer Growth Partners, dismissed a lack of deals as “an urban myth,” and said plenty of stores were offering discounts of 40% to 50%.
Foot traffic is likely to prove strong at malls around the country even if rainy weather hurt turnout in the Northeast, he said. Since malls are no longer opening late at night on Thanksgiving, teen shoppers seem to have shifted back to Black Friday morning and that drove a lot of the action, he said.
Still, many stores are finding they can pull back from the price reductions they’ve offered in the past. Abercrombie & Fitch Co. was offering 50% discounts two years ago, said CEO Fran Horowitz. Now they’re only 30%.
“I’ve been here for seven years and this is the first time we’ve been able to do 30% off since I’ve been here,” she said in an interview. “Those 20 points make an enormous difference in our bottom line, and the consumer is obviously responding nicely to our product.”
–With assistance from Deena Shanker, Tiffany Kary, Augusta Saraiva and Richard Clough.
Contact us at [email protected]
BMO Capital Markets
Global investment banking subsidiary of Canadian Bank of Montreal
BMO Capital Markets is the investment banking subsidiary of Canadian Bank of Montreal. The company offers corporate, institutional and government clients access to a range of financial services. These include equity and debt underwriting, corporate lending and project financing, merger and acquisitions advisory services, securitization, treasury management, market risk management, debt and equity research and institutional sales and trading.
1912-1999 – Nesbitt Thomson
A.J. Nesbitt of Montreal and P.A. Thomson of Hamilton, Ontario established Nesbitt Thomson in 1912. After World War II, Nesbitt Thomson expanded its bmo capital markets locations to include chemicals, salt, steel, ships, farm machinery, retail stores, and a transcontinental natural gas pipeline. Burns Fry is created from the merger of Burns Bros. and Denton and Fry Mills Spence in 1976. In 1987 Bank of Montreal acquires Nesbitt Thomson. In 1994 Nesbitt Thomson and Burns Fry merge to form Nesbitt Burns. In 1999 the merger of the corporate banking arm of Bmo capital markets locations Bank, BMO Financial Group's Chicago-based subsidiary, and the U.S. investment banking capabilities of Nesbitt Burns, bmo capital markets locations Harris Nesbitt. The new firm focuses on the middle market of the U.S. Midwest.
2000-2018 – BMO Nesbitt Burns
In 2000 the "BMO" brand was added to the Nesbitt Burns name in order to link the firm's corporate identity with BMO Financial Group. In 2003 BMO Financial Group bmo capital markets locations Gerard Klauer Mattison (GKM), providing Harris Nesbitt with a U.S.-based equity research and institutional sales and trading platform. GKM was founded in 1989 in New York as a boutique equity research and investment banking firm serving the institutional marketplace. In 2006 BMO Capital Markets was launched when BMO Financial Group's Canadian, U.S. and international wholesale banking capabilities were merged. In 2016 BMO Financial Group acquired the business of Greene Holcomb Fisher, a boutique M&A advisory firm based in Minneapolis.
2019 – SEC fines BMO Capital Markets
In August 2019 the US Securities and Exchange Commission fined BMO Capital Markets $3.9 million victoria secret credit card customer service phone its improper handling of “pre-released” American Depositary Receipts (ADRs). According to the SEC, BMO Capital obtained pre-released ADRs when they should have known that the pre-release transactions were not backed by foreign shares, and improperly obtained pre-released ADRs indirectly from other broker-dealers. Sanjay Wadhwa, Senior Associate Director for Enforcement in the SEC's New York Regional Office said "The SEC continues to hold accountable parties that abused the ADR markets over an extended period of time. U.S. investors who invest in foreign companies through ADRs have a right to expect that market professionals aren't gaming the system."
Black Friday has become the main event again for shoppers eager to kick off the holiday season by hitting the mall or the store.
For years, retailers tried to nudge up the start of gift hunting. Instead of welcoming crowds on Black Friday morning, companies began opening their doors immediately after some families finished their turkey dinners on Thanksgiving Day.
The pandemic, however, shook up that dynamic — and has put Black Friday back in the spotlight. Many retailers, including Walmart, Target, and Best Buy, opted to keep stores what is a trust company last Thanksgiving. They repeated that again this year. Target went a step further, announcing this week that its stores will be closed on Thanksgiving Day for good.
For the retailers, some of the decision is a practical one: Shoppers have learned they can skip the hassle of lines and crowds, but still check off items on the gift list.
"What started as a temporary measure driven by the pandemic is now our new standard — one that recognizes our ability to deliver on our guests' holiday wishes both within and well beyond store hours," Target CEO Brian Cornell wrote in a note to employees.
Stores make a comeback this holiday season
One of the big changes this holiday season? Shoppers want to hit the stores again.
That's a big change from last year when more consumers opted for curbside pickup or getting packages dropped off at their door because of fears of getting Covid-19.
Half of U.S. consumers said they plan to make more trips to stores to shop for presents this year, according to a survey of 1,005 people from Sept. 24 to Sept. 26 by ICSC, a trade organization that represents the shopping mall industry. Last year, 45% said they planned to visit malls.
That's expected to play out on Black Friday, too. On the shopping holiday, 64% said they expect to head to stores to shop, up from bmo capital markets locations last year, according to the National Retail Federation. The retail trade group worked with Prosper Insights & Analytics to poll 7,837 adults from Nov. 1-10 on their plans and progress.
For some consumers, returning to stores is a way to get gift ideas, feel festive and resume old traditions. For others, the decision is a practical one. In a year of supply chain woes, people may feel more peace of mind from having a desired item in hand — or the ability to browse for a solid substitute.
Black Friday loses some luster as shoppers turn out to hunt scarce deals
Department stores get some love this Black Friday, according to retail analyst
Dollar Tree Raising Prices On Most Items To $1.25
(CNN) — Dollar Tree will soon be $1.25 bmo capital markets locations company — one of America’s last remaining true dollar stores — said Tuesday it will raise prices from $1 to $1.25 on the majority of its products by the first quarter of 2022. The change is a sign of the pressures low-cost retailers face holding down prices during a period of rising inflation.READ MORE: Local Researchers Test COVID Samples To Determine Prevalence Of Omicron Variant In Massachusetts
Dollar Tree said in a quarterly earnings release Tuesday that its decision to raise prices to $1.25 permanently, however, was “not a reaction to short-term or transitory market conditions.”
Selling stuff strictly for $1 hampered Dollar Tree, the company said, and forced it stop selling some “customer favorites.” Raising prices will give Dollar Tree more flexibility to reintroduce those items, expand its selection and bring new products and sizes to its stores.
Dollar Tree also said that hiking prices will help the company increase its profit margins by “mitigating historically high merchandise cost increases,” including freight and distribution costs, as well as wage increases.
“This is the appropriate time to shift away from the constraints of the $1 price point,” CEO Michael Witynski said in a statement.
The end of dollar stores
Dollar Tree carries primarily seasonal goods, toys, stationary, home decor, kitchenware and party items.
It caters to suburban, middle-income shoppers, unlike Dollar General, its more rural-focused rival. Family Dollar — owned by Dollar Tree — targets mostly low-income shoppers in cities.READ MORE: Latest COVID Travel Ban To South Africa Interrupts Christmas Plans For Some Families
Dollar Tree has sold products at $1 for 35 years and was the last of the major dollar store chains to actually be a dollar store. (The company was called “Only $1.00” in the late part of the 20th century, before changing its name to Dollar Tree in 1993.)
Dollar Tree had started moving away from only offering goods for $1 in recent years, in part as a response to pressure on Wall Street to raise prices. Dollar Tree has lagged Dollar General and other discount chains.
In 2019, an activist investor took a stake bmo capital markets locations the company and pressed the chain to raise prices. The group ended its fight after Dollar Tree announced it planned to test different prices.
In September, Dollar Tree said it planned to begin selling items at $1.25 and $1.50 at some stores for the first time. It also said it would add $3 and $5 items to more stores, expanding on a prior strategy to offer these prices at select locations.
Since that announcement, a different activist investor built a stake in Dollar Tree and has tapped a former Dollar General CEO to push for changes at the company.
Although Dollar Tree said its decision to permanently raise prices was not a reaction to short-term inflation, one analyst was unconvinced.
“The pace of rollout, along with [the] engaged investor, Mantle Ridge, clearly suggests otherwise,” Kelly Bania, an analyst at BMO Capital Markets, said in a note to clients Tuesday.MORE NEWS: New England Aquarium Saves 119 Cold-Stunned Turtles Off Cape Cod
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